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This book performs a Structural Vector Auto Regression analysis on the Tunisian economy using quarterly interpolated data from 1990 to 2015 in the attempt of verifying and quantifying the short-term macroeconomic effects of public spending on private consumption.
Our findings suggest that positive government spending shock has a positive but low impact on private consumption, while it has a crowding-out effect on GDP.
We also find, surprisingly, that an increase in capital spending has a crowding-out effect on private consumption, while an increase in current spending has a crowding-in effect.
A positive government revenue shock tends to have a positive impact on private consumption, while it has no impact on GDP in the short-term.
Overall, an expansionary fiscal policy is not an effective tool to stimulate the Tunisian economic activity.
I was born in Tunisia in 1993.
I graduated from faculty of economics and management of Sousse as a master degree in 2018 and now I am a PhD student in the same university.
I like reading, running, cooking in my free time and searching on the net to develop myself.
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